Key Findings
“OSHA fines get negotiated down” is a familiar claim and it is true in aggregate. It is also the least interesting thing in the data. The useful finding is how unevenly it happens.
- Most fines are never touched. 2,569,042 of 4,178,732 violations (61.5%) end at exactly the amount assessed. Only 1,502,389 (36%) are reduced — and 107,301 (2.6%) end up higher than they started.
- When a fine is cut, it is cut nearly in half. Among the violations that are reduced at all, 49.5% of the assessed dollars disappear. The 35.95% aggregate is the product of a minority of cases moving a very long way, not of everyone getting a modest discount.
- The bigger the fine, the bigger the share that disappears. Violations assessed under $500 lose 22.2% of their value. Violations of $50,000 and up lose 42.7%. The gradient is monotonic across every band in between — a small citation is a fixed cost, a large one is an opening position.
- Contesting is associated with roughly a third more discount. Contested violations end 45.3% below assessment against 31.9% for uncontested, and 54.3% of them move at all against 33.3%. Employers who contest are self-selected, so this is not proof that contesting causes the discount. What is notable is the other side: a third of uncontested citations are reduced anyway, through OSHA’s informal settlement conference.
- One percent of citations vanish entirely. 41,215 violations (0.99%) fall to exactly $0 — vacated, not negotiated. Those alone account for 7% of the entire write-down, which is why they are reported separately rather than folded into an average discount.
- State enforcement outcomes differ by more than 20 points. Of the 25 states with the most penalty dollars, WA retains the most (21.6% written down) and IN the least (48.3%). Roughly half the states run their own OSHA-approved plans, which is the obvious place to look for the cause — this data does not identify it.