Accept when: the offer is ≥85% of fair case value AND you’ve reached MMI AND the policy limit isn’t blocking higher recovery AND the release scope is acceptable. Certainty has value — a $60K bird-in-hand often beats a $85K maybe 12 months out.
Counter when: the offer is 50-80% of fair value. Counter at 110% of fair value to leave room to come down. Document new justifications each round.
Walk away (file suit) when: the offer is below 50% of fair value AND the adjuster refuses to escalate AND your SOL gives you runway AND there’s a real policy or asset to collect from. Filing suit isn’t about going to trial — it’s about moving the case from claim-rep authority to litigation-rep authority (usually 2-3× higher).