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Personal Injury

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Mass Tort, Drug & Device

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Construction Accident

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Sexual Abuse

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Nursing Home Abuse

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Slip & Fall by State

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Dog Bite by State

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  • New York
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Wrongful Death by State

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Insurance Claims

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Cost & Fee Calculators

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Family Law

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Open for Claims

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BCBS by State

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Original Studies

  • Federal Lawsuit Outcomes
  • Wage Theft Enforcement
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  • Prop 65 Attorney Fees
  • Fined, Not Collected
  • The Death Discount
  • NPDB Medical Malpractice
  • Treasury Judgment Fund
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  • Settlement Trends
  • Settlement Amounts by State
  • The Lawyer's Share

By Topic

  • Damage Caps by State
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  • Talcum Powder Settlements
  • Roundup Lawsuit Settlements

By Geography

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Methodology

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Case Value

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Claim Process

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Workers' Comp

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Reference

  • Personal Injury FAQ
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Settlement DataSettlement Data
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Calculators154

Personal Injury

  • Car Accident
  • Motorcycle Accident
  • Truck Accident
  • Drunk Driving Accident
  • Pedestrian Accident
  • Bicycle Accident
  • Rideshare Accident
  • Slip and Fall
  • Premises Liability
  • Dog Bite
  • Wrongful Death
  • Pain and Suffering

Injury Type

  • Back Injury
  • Knee Injury
  • Concussion & TBI
  • Herniated Disc
  • Whiplash
  • Soft Tissue Injury

Medical Malpractice

  • Medical Malpractice
  • Cancer Misdiagnosis
  • Settlement Tax Calculator
  • Arizona
  • California
  • Colorado
  • Florida
  • Georgia
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Maryland
  • Massachusetts
  • Michigan
  • Minnesota
  • Missouri
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • North Carolina
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • Texas
  • Virginia
  • Washington

Disability & Veterans

  • VA Disability Calculator
  • SSDI Grid Rules
  • SSDI Lawyer
  • Social Security + SSDI

Workers' Compensation

  • Workers' Comp
  • California
  • Florida
  • Illinois
  • Michigan
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • Texas
  • Washington

Mass Tort, Drug & Device

  • Camp Lejeune
  • Roundup
  • Talcum Powder
  • 3M Earplug
  • Paragard IUD
  • Hair Relaxer
  • Hernia Mesh
  • Exactech Recall
  • Mesothelioma
  • Asbestos
  • Tylenol Autism
  • Ozempic
  • Philips CPAP
  • Bard IVC Filter
  • Bard Port Catheter
  • Uber Sexual Assault
  • Tepezza Hearing Loss
  • Depo-Provera (Meningioma)
  • Medical Device

Construction Accident

  • Construction
  • California
  • Illinois
  • Massachusetts
  • New York
  • Pennsylvania

Sexual Abuse

  • Sexual Abuse
  • California
  • Maryland
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • Rhode Island Priest List

Nursing Home Abuse

  • Nursing Home Abuse
  • California
  • Florida
  • Illinois
  • Texas
  • Chicago Neglect Guide

Slip & Fall by State

  • California
  • Florida
  • Illinois
  • Michigan
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • Texas
  • Washington

Dog Bite by State

  • California
  • Florida
  • Illinois
  • Michigan
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • Texas
  • Washington

Wrongful Death by State

  • California
  • Florida
  • Illinois
  • New York
  • Texas

Insurance Claims

  • Home Insurance
  • Fire Damage
  • Flood Damage
  • Storm Damage
  • Hail Damage
  • Auto Total Loss
  • Diminished Value

Class Action & Distribution

  • All Open Settlements
  • Capital One 360 Savings
  • Cash App Security
  • Wells Fargo CARES Act
  • Apple Siri Privacy
  • Experian Multi-Tracker
  • Kia/Hyundai Theft
  • MyChart Hospital Pixel
  • DoorDash Multi-Tracker
  • Blue Cross Blue Shield
  • Data Breach
  • Class Action Payout
  • Settlement Payment

Cost & Fee Calculators

  • Bankruptcy Cost
  • Chapter 7 vs. Chapter 13
  • DUI Lawyer Cost
  • Expungement Cost
  • Bail Cost
  • Deportation Defense

Family Law

  • Alimony
  • Divorce Settlement
  • Child Support
  • IRS Offer in Compromise
  • Chapter 7 Income Limits
  • SSDI Payment Schedule
  • Order of Protection

Intellectual Property

  • Copyright Infringement
  • Trademark Infringement

Special

  • Whistleblower Reward
Settlements89

Find Your Case

  • All Settlements & Lawsuits
  • Company & Legal Guides A–Z
  • Data Breach Settlements
  • MyChart Hospital Tracking
  • Class Action Payout

Recently Added

  • Libel Lawsuit
  • Center for Kidney Care Data Breach
  • Lung Cancer Lawsuit
  • Class Action Rebates
  • Surgical Errors Lawsuit
  • 18 Wheeler Accident Lawsuit
  • Academy Mortgage Settlement
  • CertainTeed Shingles Lawsuit

Open for Claims

  • Urban One Data Breach
  • Crossroads Trading Data Breach
  • Doxim Settlement
  • HireVue Lawsuit
  • DFA Data Breach
  • Docketwise Data Breach
  • Flo App
  • BMW Class Action

Paying Out Now

  • Visa Mastercard
  • BCBS Amount Per Person
  • NFL Concussion
  • Amazon Prime
  • Boy Scouts of America
  • Facebook Privacy
  • Credit Acceptance
  • UFC Lawsuit

BCBS Settlement

  • Main Calculator
  • Anthem BCBS Settlement
  • Latest Updates (Weekly)
  • How Much Will You Get?
  • Where Is My Check?
  • 2026 Payment Dates
  • Who Gets What (Structure)
  • Provider Settlement
  • Antitrust Case Explained
  • Is bcbssettlement.com Legit?

BCBS by State

  • Alabama
  • Alaska
  • Arizona
  • Arkansas
  • California
  • Colorado
  • Connecticut
  • D.C.
  • Delaware
  • Florida
  • Georgia
  • Hawaii
  • Idaho
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Iowa
  • Kansas
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Research29

Original Studies

  • Federal Lawsuit Outcomes
  • Wage Theft Enforcement
  • EEOC Discrimination
  • The Cost of Age Discrimination
  • Prop 65 Attorney Fees
  • Fined, Not Collected
  • The Death Discount
  • NPDB Medical Malpractice
  • Treasury Judgment Fund
  • CFPB Complaint Explosion
  • COPPA Penalty History ($964M)
  • Settlement Trends
  • Settlement Amounts by State
  • The Lawyer's Share

By Topic

  • Damage Caps by State
  • Malpractice by Specialty
  • Workers' Comp Statistics
  • Talcum Powder Settlements
  • Roundup Lawsuit Settlements

By Geography

  • U.S. Settlement Map
  • Malpractice Payouts by State
  • California Malpractice
  • New York Malpractice
  • Texas Malpractice
  • Florida Malpractice
  • Illinois Malpractice
  • NYC Settlement Data
  • Chicago Police Settlements

Methodology

  • Our Data Sources
Guides41

Start Here

  • All Guides A–Z
  • AI Legal Help
  • Ask a Lawyer Free
  • Blog

Case Value

  • How Much Is My Case Worth?
  • Avg Settlement by Injury
  • Can I Sue for Pain & Suffering?
  • PI Lawyer Cost (Contingency)
  • Punitive Damages by State

Claim Process

  • The Claim Process
  • After a Car Accident
  • Demand Letter Template
  • Negotiate with Adjusters
  • Insurance Bad Faith
  • Find a PI Lawyer
  • Small Claims Court

Workers' Comp

  • WC Claim Process
  • What's My WC Case Worth?
  • PI vs Workers' Comp
  • Workers' Comp by State
  • When You Need a WC Lawyer
  • Settlements by Body Part
  • Appeal Deadlines by State

Law by State

  • Comparative Negligence
  • Statute of Limitations
  • No-Fault Insurance States

Hiring a Lawyer

  • Car Accident Lawyer
  • Med-Mal Lawyer
  • Wrongful Death Lawyer
  • Nursing Home Abuse
  • Bicycle Accident
  • Bus Accident
  • Hit and Run
  • Slip and Fall
  • Uber & Lyft Accident
  • Defamation Lawyer
  • VA Disability Lawyer

Reference

  • Personal Injury FAQ
  • PI Statistics
  • Types of PI Cases
  • Legal Glossary
NewsSettlement DataAboutMethodology
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Original Research

Federal Lawsuit Outcomes: What 10,960,173 Civil Cases Show About Settlements and Trials

We analyzed every civil case terminated in the 94 U.S. federal district courts since 1988 — 10,480,124 cases from the Federal Judicial Center’s Integrated Database. 24.02% ended in a recorded settlement, only 1.53% ever reached trial, and the median case closed in 240 days. Here is how that varies by case type, state, and year.

Reviewed by Leonard Goldberg, Editor · Published August 6, 2026 · Updated October 7, 2026

10,960,173

Federal civil cases analyzed

All 94 district courts, 1988–2026

1.53%

Reached trial

Jury verdicts, bench trials, and directed verdicts combined

24.02%

Recorded settlements

Plus 14.61% voluntary dismissals, which often follow settlements

240 days

Median time to resolution

From filing to termination, all case types

Key Findings

“95% of lawsuits settle” is one of the most repeated statistics in law — usually with no source attached. Court records tell a more precise story. This study computes actual disposition rates from every federal civil case the courts reported to the Administrative Office since 1988, without sampling or estimation.

  • The trial really is vanishing: 1.53% of cases reach one. In 1990, 3.37% of terminated cases ended in a trial; by 2024 it was 0.28%. Jury verdicts alone decide fewer than 1 in 100 federal civil cases.
  • 24.02% of cases end in an explicitly recorded settlement — and another 14.61% end in voluntary dismissals that frequently follow private deals. That supports “most cases resolve consensually,” but not the cliché that 95% settle: dismissals on motions, jurisdiction, and procedure make up much of the rest.
  • Medical malpractice is the trial outlier: 6.9% of cases are tried — about 4.5× the overall rate — and its recovery median ($300K) is among the highest of any major category, consistent with the median malpractice payment reported in the National Practitioner Data Bank.
  • Motor vehicle cases settle most: 51.09%, with the highest plaintiff judgment share (48.28%) — liability in crash cases is comparatively clear, so they resolve faster (305 days median) and more often in the plaintiff’s favor.
  • Mass torts distort naive settlement rates. Product liability shows only 24.84% recorded settlements and a 2.1 yrs median duration — because MDL member cases (3M earplugs alone contributed ~396,000 filings in one district) sit consolidated for years and are closed administratively after global deals. Asbestos, the oldest mass tort, shows the pattern after maturity: 48.87% settled with a $1.5M median recovery where one was recorded.

Settlement and trial rates by case type

Terminated cases only. “Settled” is the share with disposition “dismissed: settled” — a lower bound, since voluntary dismissals often follow private settlements. “Plaintiff wins” is the plaintiff share of cases where judgment was entered for one side. Recovery medians cover only judgments where an amount was recorded, and reported amounts are capped — read them as orders of magnitude.

Case typeCasesSettledReached trialPlaintiff winsMedian durationMedian recovery
Medical Malpractice49,13136.52%6.9%23.7%1.0 yrs$300K
Motor Vehicle209,45751.09%3.87%48.28%305 days$100K
Product Liability (excl. asbestos)1,215,15824.84%0.36%11.54%2.1 yrs$277K
Asbestos360,53348.87%0.18%68.14%182 days$1.5M
Other Personal Injury518,19942.69%4.63%26.38%319 days$104K
Employment Discrimination / ADA612,74839.45%3.46%11.92%332 days$90K
Civil Rights (other)632,89325.97%3.26%11.48%250 days$50K
Wage & Hour (FLSA)169,29551.02%1.38%74.61%246 days$45K
Insurance377,37444%1.81%43.87%265 days$137K
Other Contract597,44332.71%2.46%68.13%234 days$151K
Fraud73,28424.79%1.84%41.7%236 days$283K
Antitrust26,59020.47%1.72%28.28%299 days$1.0M
ERISA322,08833.07%0.81%79.01%182 days$30K
Prisoner Civil Rights1,087,3905.34%1.66%2.09%139 days$6K
All Personal Injury (rollup)2,352,47835.04%1.72%25.55%1.2 yrs$143K

Case types are Administrative Office nature-of-suit code groups; the exact codes for each group ship in the CSV download. One row of court data is one case, not one claimant.

Federal case outcomes by state

All 10,480,124 terminated cases mapped from the 94 district courts to their states (multi-district states combine their districts). Ranked by recorded settlement rate. State differences mix caseload composition — a state hosting a large MDL inherits its disposition pattern — with genuine local practice, so read the rate together with the case count.

#StateCasesSettledVoluntary dismissalReached trialMedian duration
1West Virginia206,05355%6.63%0.41%2.3 yrs
2Pennsylvania748,55351.56%5.91%1.14%171 days
3Louisiana383,22138.29%9.78%3.68%332 days
4New Jersey298,22332.26%12.3%0.92%211 days
5Minnesota138,21330.88%10.04%0.91%246 days
6Mississippi132,93927.8%7.82%2.81%284 days
7Illinois481,27827.51%17.48%1.51%197 days
8Colorado117,04727.31%13.11%2.01%187 days
9New Mexico55,93226%12.46%2.04%273 days
10Massachusetts132,76925.76%15.27%2.26%311 days
11Montana27,80925.41%9.16%2.19%286 days
12Maine22,47225.28%10.99%3.36%198 days
13North Dakota12,42625.16%7.19%2.9%245 days
14Hawaii33,43825.07%18.58%2.05%270 days
15South Dakota15,99724.85%6.49%3.46%245 days
16Michigan278,32024.58%7.69%1.21%239 days
17Wyoming13,05824.57%23.7%4.51%256 days
18Connecticut91,64924.21%19.35%2.31%306 days
19Vermont15,63223.96%23.63%2.27%213 days
20Delaware48,88923.86%20.26%2.62%269 days
21Indiana192,94622.98%10.89%1.24%245 days
22Rhode Island27,56722.98%19.36%2.76%313 days
23New York813,60222.97%15.67%1.12%254 days
24Nebraska37,67422.76%11.88%3.64%231 days
25South Carolina173,33222.5%9.75%1.6%263 days
26Utah49,88022.35%17.73%1.58%312 days
27Georgia289,87322.16%10.89%1.51%201 days
28Maryland152,47222.15%10.06%1.53%200 days
29Washington148,86922.03%11.68%1.38%207 days
30New Hampshire25,26921.75%21.81%1.96%316 days
31Kansas69,93721.61%15.37%2.23%238 days
32Kentucky127,28321.5%6.48%1.48%254 days
33Oklahoma130,13921.49%10.43%2.12%228 days
34Arizona153,35021.23%8.09%1.09%219 days
35Oregon87,19620.28%13.63%2.09%264 days
36Alaska18,70519.2%12.71%1.59%278 days
37Wisconsin94,81919.06%11.2%1.98%169 days
38Ohio322,40819.03%11.65%0.95%276 days
39Texas748,20518.12%10.45%1.59%206 days
40Nevada99,38217.97%13.86%1.25%254 days
41California1,038,74717.61%17.54%0.92%194 days
42Alabama227,27717.51%5.49%1.94%284 days
43Tennessee177,26817.4%13.57%2.4%263 days
44Idaho23,76417.18%16.84%2%323 days
45Florida1,063,13015.82%34.87%0.86%336 days
46Arkansas127,33614.84%13.62%4.62%284 days
47Virginia214,39114.74%10.84%2.15%147 days
48North Carolina147,95214.02%12.3%1.81%232 days
49Iowa59,86513.87%12.9%3.5%251 days
50District of Columbia115,39513.52%17.3%1.51%210 days
51Missouri193,39112.35%17.66%2.26%230 days

Territories (Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands) are excluded from the state table but included in national figures. For dollar benchmarks by state, see our settlement amounts by state study.

The vanishing trial, in one table

Legal scholars have documented the “vanishing trial” for two decades. The full yearly series (1988–2025, complete calendar years) ships in the CSV below; the trajectory is unambiguous:

YearCases terminatedSettledReached trial
1990213,64625.11%3.37%
1995233,48222.1%2.83%
2000252,59823.18%1.87%
2005281,07120.44%1.18%
2010314,92038.14%0.85%
2015273,20528.71%0.91%
2020276,48627.8%0.39%
2024528,05710.52%0.28%

A federal civil case filed today is roughly 12× less likely to end in a trial than one filed when this data begins. For anyone weighing a claim, the practical takeaway is that the negotiation, not the courtroom, is where almost every case is actually decided — which is why understanding settlement benchmarks matters more than verdict headlines.

Cite this research

This analysis is released as an open, citable dataset. Researchers and journalists are welcome to use it with attribution.

DOI

Permanent identifier

10.5281/zenodo.21815330

APA

Goldberg, L. (2026). Federal Lawsuit Outcomes — Disposition Statistics from 10.76 Million U.S. District Court Civil Cases, 1988–2025 [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21815330

BibTeX

@dataset{goldberg_2026_fjc_outcomes,
  author    = {Goldberg, Leonard},
  title     = {{Federal Lawsuit Outcomes -- Disposition Statistics from 10.76 Million U.S. District Court Civil Cases, 1988--2025}},
  year      = 2026,
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  doi       = {10.5281/zenodo.21815330},
  url       = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21815330}
}

Download the data

Aggregated CSV files — CC BY 4.0. Free to use with attribution.

  • CSV

    Outcomes by case type

    n, settled %, trial %, plaintiff win %, median duration, recovery percentiles — 15 case-type groups · 15 rows

  • CSV

    Outcomes by state

    Cases, settled %, voluntary dismissal %, trial %, median duration — all 50 states + DC · 51 rows

  • CSV

    Outcomes by year

    Terminations, settled %, trial %, median duration for every year 1988–2025 · 38 rows

  • CSV

    Full disposition breakdown

    Every AO disposition code with counts and shares · 22 rows

Methodology

The source is the Federal Judicial Center’s Integrated Database (IDB) — the official case-level record of federal litigation, built from data the district courts report to the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. We analyzed the civil file covering cases on record from 1988 through June 30, 2026: 10,960,173 cases, of which 10,480,124 are terminations with a disposition code and 480,049 were still pending. Pending cases enter no share on this page.

Correction (October 10, 2026). Earlier versions of this study counted 446,667 cases that were still pending as terminations with a missing disposition code, because the FJC file marks a pending case with the placeholder date January 1, 1900. That understated every share — overall settlements by about one point, product liability by three (21.6% → 24.8% settled) — and reported 644 pending cases instead of several hundred thousand. All figures now exclude pending cases and use the FJC release of August 2026.

  • Settled = disposition code 13 (“dismissed: settled”). This is a lower bound: settlements concluded after a voluntary dismissal (code 12, 14.61%) are not separately identifiable in court records.
  • Reached trial = jury verdict, bench trial, or directed verdict codes. Cases settled during trial are counted by their final recorded disposition.
  • Case types group the AO nature-of-suit codes (e.g., medical malpractice = NOS 362); the exact grouping ships with the CSVs.
  • States map the 94 district courts via the AO court-location codes, which we verified against the county FIPS codes recorded on the cases themselves.
  • Amounts (demand and recovery) are reported to the courts in thousands of dollars and capped at reporting ceilings; we therefore publish only medians and percentiles, never sums, and recovery figures exist only for the minority of judgments where courts recorded one.
  • Durations are days from filing to termination, kept when between 0 and 50 years; the median across all terminations is 240 days.

All aggregates are computed directly from the IDB export in our settlement database; the aggregation code and every published table are deterministic and re-runnable. Aggregated tables are released under CC BY 4.0. This is federal data only — state courts, where most injury litigation happens, publish no comparable unified database.

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of lawsuits settle before trial?

In 10,480,124 terminated federal civil cases, 24.02% ended with a disposition explicitly recorded as "dismissed: settled," and another 14.61% ended as voluntary dismissals — which frequently follow a private settlement. So the honest answer is: at least 24.02%, plausibly over 38.6%, settle or otherwise resolve consensually — while only 1.53% are decided at trial. Popular claims like "95% of cases settle" overstate what court records can support; much of the remainder ends in dismissals on motions, jurisdictional grounds, or procedural closings.

What percentage of lawsuits go to trial?

1.53% of terminated federal civil cases since 1988 were decided by a jury verdict (0.92%), a bench trial (0.53%), or a directed verdict (0.08%). The trial has been "vanishing" for decades: in 1990, 3.37% of terminations were trials; by 2024 it was 0.28%.

Which case types settle most often?

Among the major categories, motor vehicle injury cases have the highest recorded settlement rate (51.09%), followed by asbestos (48.87%) and other personal injury (42.69%). Medical malpractice settles 36.52% of the time but goes to trial far more often than anything else (6.9% — about 4.5× the overall rate), because liability is genuinely contested. Product liability shows a low recorded settlement rate (24.84%) — a statistical artifact of mass tort MDLs, where hundreds of thousands of member cases are closed administratively after global settlements.

How long does a federal lawsuit take?

The median terminated case closed 240 days (about 8 months) after filing. Case type matters enormously: motor vehicle cases have a median of 305 days, medical malpractice 1.0 yrs, and product liability 2.1 yrs — the long product-liability tail reflects years cases spend consolidated in multidistrict litigation.

How often do plaintiffs win at trial or judgment?

Of cases resolved by a judgment for one side, plaintiffs won 25.55% across personal-injury categories — but the spread is wide: 48.28% in motor vehicle cases versus 11.92% in employment discrimination. Two cautions: most cases never reach a judgment at all, and defendants tend to try the cases they think they can win, so win rates say as much about case selection as case merits.

Does this data cover state courts too?

No — this is every civil case in the 94 federal district courts, as reported to the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts and published by the Federal Judicial Center. Most personal-injury litigation actually happens in state courts, which have no comparable unified public database. Federal cases skew toward diversity jurisdiction (larger claims between citizens of different states), federal statutes, and mass torts — so treat these rates as a window into litigation dynamics, not a universal constant.

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