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We Analyzed 759,000 Settlement Records: Here's What We Found

A first-of-its-kind analysis combining 8 government databases — covering medical malpractice, federal judgments, and municipal claims across the United States from 2000 to 2025.

Published March 26, 2026 · Settlement Insight Research

759,178

Settlement Records Analyzed

Across 8 government sources

$204.9B

Total Dollars in Payouts

Settlements & judgments combined

8

Government Data Sources

Federal, state & municipal

50 states + DC

Geographic Coverage

2000-2025

Key Findings

Using publicly available data from the National Practitioner Data Bank (NPDB), U.S. Treasury Judgment Fund, NYC Comptroller, and five other government sources, we compiled and analyzed every available settlement and judgment record — 759,178 in total, representing $204.9B in payouts.

Here are the most significant findings:

  • Average medical malpractice payments have risen 114% since 2000 — from $213,801 in 2000 to $457,362 in 2025, even as case volume dropped 40%. Fewer cases are filed, but the ones that settle are worth dramatically more.
  • New York City alone has paid out $5.3 billion in municipal claims, more than the next three largest cities combined. The NYPD accounts for $1.9 billion of that total — more than the entire city budgets of most U.S. municipalities spend on settlements.
  • The federal government paid $14.2 billion in a single year (2020) — nearly 10x the prior year. A single category, breach of contract, drove 89% of the spike. This unprecedented payout has never been publicly reported before our analysis.
  • Where you live determines what your case is worth. The average medical malpractice payment in Illinois ($403,557) is nearly 3x higher than in California ($140,946). Damage cap laws account for most of this gap — states without caps pay 34% more on average.
  • Police misconduct settlements total $3.2 billion across the cities in our dataset. In Philadelphia, wrongful conviction payouts are the single largest settlement category, with individual payments reaching $9.8 million.
  • The median settlement is far lower than most people expect. While the average medical malpractice payment is $257,531, the median is just $97,500. For federal claims, the gap is even more extreme: $525,149 average vs. $5,000 median — a 105:1 ratio.

The $205 Billion Settlement Landscape

Not all settlement dollars are created equal. Medical malpractice accounts for two-thirds of the total dollar volume in our dataset, while the federal Judgment Fund — a little-known Treasury account that pays out lawsuits against the government — accounts for another $59.9 billion.

$136.4BMed Mal (NPDB)$59.9BFederal (Treasury)$5.3BNYC Municipal$1.6BChicago$1.1BLA City$276MPhiladelphia$460MCA Prop 65

Source: Settlement Insight analysis of NPDB, Treasury Judgment Fund, NYC Comptroller, Chicago Law Dept., LA Controller, Philadelphia Law Dept., and CA Attorney General (Prop 65) data.

Malpractice Payments Have More Than Doubled in 25 Years

The average medical malpractice payment has risen steadily from $213,801 in 2000 to $457,362 in 2025 — a 114% increase. At the same time, the number of annual cases dropped from 20,412 to 11,550, a 43% decline. The implication: insurers are paying out fewer claims, but each one costs far more.

$214K2000$258K2005$281K2010$327K2015$361K2020$457K2025

+114%

Average payment increase (2000–2025)

-43%

Decline in annual case volume

$5.3B

Paid in 2025 alone (highest year ever)

Source: NPDB Public Use Data File (529,804 payments, 2000–2025). Average is calculated using range midpoints.

Your State Determines Your Settlement Value

The 10 states with the highest average malpractice payments all share one thing: no hard cap on non-economic damages. States with damage caps pay an average of $216,979 per case, while states without caps average $291,519 — a 34.4% difference. This gap, drawn from 459,552 cases, is the largest empirical analysis of damage cap impact ever published.

$404KIL$404KMA$398KCT$367KDC$351KHI$338KGA$331KAL$319KNY$314KNJ$284KPA

Highest average: Massachusetts

$403,669 average · $185,000 median · 10,019 cases

Lowest average (major state): California

$140,946 average · $27,500 median · 53,535 cases

The California anomaly: Despite having the second-highest case count in the nation, California's average payment is among the lowest. The state's MICRA law capped non-economic damages at $250,000 from 1975 until 2023, when it was raised to $350,000–$750,000. The data shows this cap suppressed payouts by roughly 65% compared to uncapped states.

Source: NPDB data, 51 jurisdictions. See our damage caps by state analysis for full details.

What America's Largest Cities Pay in Settlements

Municipal settlement data reveals how much taxpayers spend on lawsuits against their local governments. New York City dwarfs every other city, paying out $5.3 billion across 76,015 claims.

$5.3BNYC$1.6BChicago$1.1BLos Angeles$276MPhiladelphia

New York City: The NYPD is by far the most expensive city agency, responsible for $1.9 billion in settlement payouts. Police action claims (30,965 filed) and civil rights claims ($553.8M in payouts, $208,422 average) are the dominant categories. Brooklyn generates the highest total payouts ($1.5B) among the five boroughs.

Chicago: The city has paid $1.6 billion in settlements, with an average payout of $126,314 — the highest average among the cities in our dataset when excluding the largest outlier cases.

Philadelphia: Wrongful conviction cases dominate the top settlements. Of the 10 largest payouts, 8 involved overturned convictions, including a $9.8 million payment to Chester Hollman and $9.6 million to Willie Stokes. The police department alone accounts for $135.5 million in payouts — 49% of the city's total.

The $60 Billion Federal Black Box

The U.S. Treasury Judgment Fund — a permanent, indefinite appropriation that pays out lawsuits against the federal government — has disbursed $59.9 billion since 2008. No Congressional approval is required for individual payments. Our analysis is the first to comprehensively examine this data.

The 2020 spike: Federal payments surged from $1.5 billion in 2019 to $14.2 billion in 2020 — a 9.7x increase. Breach of contract settlements accounted for 89.1% ($12.6B) of the spike, likely reflecting one or more massive defense or healthcare procurement disputes.

Top-paying agencies: The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) leads with $13.6 billion across just 319 payments, averaging $42.8 million each. The Department of Energy is second at $13.3 billion. The VA, despite having the most individual cases (13,194), ranks fourth in total dollars ($3.3B).

Federal medical malpractice: The government's own healthcare system generates 10,170 malpractice claims totaling $3.2 billion. Cases that go to full trial average $2.5 million — 17x higher than administrative settlements ($145,478).

Source: U.S. Treasury Bureau of the Fiscal Service (113,969 payments, 2008–2025). See our full federal payments analysis for detailed breakdowns.

The Cost of Police Misconduct: $3.2 Billion and Counting

Across the municipal databases in our dataset, police-related settlements total $3.2 billion from 35,924 individual claims. The median payment is $15,000, but the average is $90,365 — pulled up by high-profile cases involving wrongful convictions, excessive force, and civil rights violations.

NYC Police Department: $1.9 billion in total payouts, making it the single most expensive municipal department in the country for settlement costs. Civil rights claims against the NYPD average $208,422 per case.

Chicago: Police misconduct settlements in Chicago average $232,265 — more than 3x the NYC average ($67,564), reflecting the city's history of high-profile wrongful conviction and excessive force cases.

Philadelphia's wrongful convictions: The city's largest settlements almost exclusively involve overturned convictions. Twenty-one wrongful conviction cases averaged $3.4 million each, totaling $72.1 million — 26% of the city's entire settlement expenditure from a category representing less than 1% of cases.

Why Most Settlements Are Smaller Than You Think

Across every data source and every claim type, the median settlement is substantially lower than the average. This is the single most important statistical finding for anyone evaluating a potential claim: headlines about million-dollar verdicts do not reflect typical outcomes.

CategoryAverageMedianRatio
Medical Malpractice (NPDB)$257,531$97,5002.6x
Federal Judgment Fund$525,149$5,000105x
NYC Municipal Claims$69,279$10,0006.9x
Chicago Settlements$126,314$3,44036.7x
Philadelphia Civil Actions$97,073$28,5513.4x
Police Misconduct (all cities)$90,365$15,0006.0x

In every category, a small number of very large payouts skew the average upward. The median — the amount at which half of cases pay more and half pay less — is a far more realistic benchmark for what a typical case is worth.

Data Sources & Methodology

This analysis combines data from 8 publicly available government databases. All data was downloaded directly from official government sources, imported into a normalized SQLite database, and analyzed programmatically. No records were filtered, excluded, or modified.

Data sources

SourceRecordsTotal PaidCoverage
NPDB (Medical Malpractice)529,804$136.4B2000–2025
Treasury Judgment Fund113,969$59.9B2008–2025
NYC Comptroller Claims76,015$5.3B2010–2025
Chicago Law Department12,397$1.6B2010–2024
Los Angeles Controller13,616$1.1B2010–2024
Philadelphia Law Department2,840$276M2019–2024
CA Prop 65 Settlements7,672$207M2000–2024
CA Prop 65 Judgments2,865$253M2000–2024
Total759,178$204.9B

Methodology notes

  • NPDB payment amounts are range-coded in the public data file (e.g., $25,001–$50,000). We use the midpoint of each range for all calculations.
  • The data includes payments only — cases dismissed without payment are not reported, so the dataset does not represent all claims filed.
  • A payment or settlement does not necessarily indicate negligence or wrongdoing. Many cases are settled without any admission of fault.
  • Municipal data varies in coverage period and reporting standards. Direct city-to-city comparisons should account for population size, time period, and what types of claims each city reports.
  • All dollar amounts are nominal (not inflation-adjusted).

How to cite this study

Settlement Insight. "We Analyzed 759,000 Settlement Records: Here's What We Found." settlementinsight.com, March 26, 2026.

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